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Crown Green Handicap

Tony Pownall

Team: Rainhill ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

994

Current Handicap

6
Honours
Season:

14

Matches Played

6

Wins

8

Losses

43%

Win Rate

5.3

Avg Win Margin

6.0

Avg Loss Margin

2-1

Home Record

4-7

Away Record

12%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
14 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/9/2026

Only 14 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 153/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 14 matches

+6 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

21 Apr12 May2 Jun23 Jun28 Jul19 Aug9 Sept-1258

Gives 6 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current6
Win Percentage(40%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
5.3
score-0.44→contribution-0.11
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.0
score+0.33→contribution+0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
1013
score-0.13→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score-0.146
Sample Size Confidence
12%(14/41 matches)
Rating956 → shrunk 995
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)990
Recency Blend19% (14 recent matches)
Final Rating994
Handicap
6

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

6W8L14 matches·42.9% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Rainhill A2026Division 1146842.9%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/9/2026Harvey BirchH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
8/25/2026Daniel LofthouseA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
8/19/2026Dean LoweH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
8/5/2026Dave TwiggH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Carl DoyleA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2026David FryerA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
6/23/2026Paul CleggA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2026Fred AndertonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
6/2/2026Peter LindleyA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
5/26/2026Dave TwiggA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
5/12/2026Chris DagnallA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
5/5/2026Dave WebsterA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
4/21/2026John BriggsA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
4/7/2026Tom DownieA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

3wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WWWLL
Last 1050% win rate— steady
WWWLLLLLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Dave Twigg11250%8/5/2026
Harvey Birch101100%9/9/2026
Daniel Lofthouse101100%8/25/2026
Dean Lowe101100%8/19/2026
Carl Doyle0110%7/28/2026
David Fryer0110%7/7/2026
Paul Clegg0110%6/23/2026
Fred Anderton0110%6/9/2026
Peter Lindley101100%6/2/2026
Chris Dagnall0110%5/12/2026
Biggest Win
Dean Lowe (+11)8/19/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Clegg (-14)6/23/2026
Best Season
202643% · 14 matches
Worst Season
202643% · 14 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
43% → 43%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
101314 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
4-450% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-433% win rate
Division 142.9%
6W·8L·14 played

Debut

Apr 7, 2026

Latest

Sep 9, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (5 mo span)

Matches / Season

14.0 (14 total)

Seasons

2026